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Gold is again proven resilent when there is financial/ political uncertainty in the market. The current financial turmoil is said to be the worst since 1929 depression and commodities and equities have been bashed down by the credit crunch except GOLD which still able to sustain its long term uptrend has retreated only about 15% from its peak when Dow Jones, KLCI, CPO and crude oil have retraced 35%, 36%, 60% and 45% from their peaks (Refer 1 year and 10 year gold price below). More about GOLD in the article below…
By Rachel Kelly, Channel NewsAsia | Posted: 14 October 2008 1900 hrs
SINGAPORE : Gold continues to glitter as an investment option while global equity markets face continued volatility and turmoil.
The price of gold is holding steady at the US$850-per-ounce mark, but experts said it could rise to as much as US$1,200 in the next six months.
The precious metal has long been regarded as a safe haven investment compared to options such as shares or currencies. And investors are seeking out physical gold instead of shares in bank-owned gold.
William Kwan, bullion director, Gold Capital Management, said: “In the first place, there is a divergence between the physical gold market and the paper gold market. A lot of consumers are already converting their unallocated holdings from paper gold to physical gold allocated, because they find that it is safer for them to hold physical that is more tangible.
“That is why recently there is a short supply of gold coins around the world. A lot of consumers are queuing up outside of bullion dealer shops to buy gold coins and gold bars.”
Industry players have noted a two to three-year low in gold paper trading. And for those investors looking to get their hands on some physical gold, such coins cost in the region of S$1,500 per ounce.
United Overseas Bank (UOB) in Singapore is one lender that trades in gold coins, and has noted a significant increase in demand for physical gold, gold bars and coins.
However, UOB also said that high gold prices have deterred jewellers and goldsmiths from buying gold bars.
That said, while there has been interest by investors, it is costly to invest in physical gold as GST and gold holding fees will be incurred.
UOB expects the demand for physical gold to subside over time when there is more stability in the global financial markets.
Jewellers in Singapore have also noticed an increase in demand for gold for investment.
Charles Ho, president, Singapore Jewellers Association, said: “In the past one to two weeks, there (has been) an increase of 15 to 20 per cent in enquiries, in particularly gold bars. If (they are buying gold) purely (for) investment, then most of the customers will look for gold bars…but gold bars are not wearable, so the best choice may be to buy some gold jewellery where you can touch it and feel it everyday.”
Experts also recommend stocking up on gold with higher carat values as these make better investments. - CNA/ms
Useful reference for condo prices near MRT stations, Singapore
http://business.asiaone.com/Business/My+Money/Property/Story/A1Story20081002-91176.html
Click to zoom in
HOME seeker Wan Kum Wai is hunting for a flat that is well-located - specifically, within walking distance of an MRT station.
For this convenience, the multimedia designer and his wife Jessie are willing to pay 10 to 20 per cent more than they would for a home a few bus stops away from a station.
‘We don’t drive, and the cost of living is running high,’ he said. ‘We don’t mind paying more because we think this will help us save on transportation costs and other expenses in the long run.’
In an era of sky-high petrol prices, multiplying Electronic Road Pricing gantries and increasing worries over environmental degradation, the all-important ‘location, location, location’ element of a home purchase has taken on a new slant.
While the classic prime districts of 9, 10, 11 are still sought after, home buyers are also increasingly keen on properties near MRT stations.
Apart from non-drivers, MRT-accessible homes also attract buyers with school-going children as well as investors who want to rent the units to expatriates, many of whom rely heavily on public transport, say property agents.
Ms Mylene Kwan, a PropNex agent who is helping Mr Wan find a home, said some of her clients have only one priority: to be near an MRT station.
‘Many of them don’t drive, so it’s very important to these buyers,’ she said.
But such proximity comes at a price.
Ms Kwan estimated that HDB flats with this privilege have their valuations alone jacked up by at least $20,000 or $30,000, and buyers often pay even more in cash on top of that.
The most popular HDB flats near MRT stations are those close to town, such as in the Tiong Bahru, Redhill and Queenstown areas, she said.
But even in the suburbs, a nearby station can give a big boost to prices.
In Woodlands, owners of flats near the MRT station are asking $40,000 to $50,000 above valuation just because of the location, said Ms Rohaizah Ramjan, another PropNex agent.
Whenever these flats come on the market, they get snapped up within two or three weeks, she added. For ‘normal ones’ further from the station, it can take a few months for a sale to be closed.
‘Flats near MRT stations are harder to come by, because owners are comfortable there and don’t want to sell,’ she said. ‘So if a buyer has the budget and they see a well-located flat for sale, they just grab.’
The same principle applies to private property. Condominiums near MRT stations can command a premium of up to 20 per cent over similar units a bit further away, said Mr Eric Cheng, executive director of HSR Property Group.
The price difference stems partly from the convenience of these homes, but is also due to their limited supply, he added.
‘If you look at the whole map of Singapore, I dare say only about half the MRT stations have condos right next door. Of course, they command a premium, a good 10 to 20 per cent above neighbouring properties 10 minutes’ walk away.’
At Tiong Bahru MRT station, for instance, new condos that are at the doorstep of the station - such as Twin Regency and Regency Heights in Kim Tian Road - fetch $1,240 per sq ft (psf) on average.
About five to 10 minutes away, prices average $1,072 psf, or about 15 per cent less, at the equally new The Regency at Tiong Bahru on Chay Yan Street.
‘Most of these units are rarely on the market,’ said Mr Cheng. ‘Even if the owners are not staying in them, they might not want to sell because they can get very high rental returns.’
Still, not all MRT stations are equal. Property values can differ widely between two consecutive stops, such as in the case of Novena and Toa Payoh, where condos around the former are almost double the price of those around the latter, according to an extensive analysis done by property firm Savills Singapore.
Even stations within a few kilometres of each other can see significantly different prices.
Savills’ data showed that condos around the Dhoby Ghaut station, for instance, fetched an average of around $1,600 psf in the first six months of the year. Less than 2km away, condos near the Little India station cost only two-thirds that on average, or $1,071 psf.
‘Apart from the proximity to an MRT station, buyers do look at other factors,’ said Mr Ku Swee Yong, Savills’ director of marketing and business development.
‘Equally important is the quality, age and tenure of the project and its facilities, how much the unit can fetch in rentals and what amenities are nearby.’
Mr Ku cited Lavender and Farrer Park MRT stations, separated by just 1.5km in distance but about $200 psf in price.
At Lavender, well-equipped condos such as Citylights boosted prices in the vicinity to an average of $1,104 psf in the first six months of the year. But Farrer Park is surrounded by several smaller condos with minimal facilities, so rents and prices tend to be lower, said Mr Ku.
A seafood restaurant at Hulu Kelang that provides nice seafood but not so much on the ambience…
Click on the photos for descriptions
More info at the restaurant website: www.meikengfatt.com
There was desperate selldown in equities market all over the world with US Dow Jones, Japan Nikkei and Malaysia KLCI losing one digit in their index to below 10,000 for both Down Jones and Nikkei and 1,000 for KLCI… Both Dow Jones and Nikkei indexes are now about 10 times the value of KLCI…
Is it now the time to go for bottom fishing? The KLSE is unlikely to suffer the level of SUDDEN panic experienced in the 1998 Asian financial crisis whereby the KLCI index plunged 75% to below 300 points in about one year’s time as the bubble in US property market and credit crunch issues had been highlighted and warned by experts way before the bubble burst.
But then, the bearish sentiment is Malaysia may take much longer time to heal compared to the Asian financial crisis. The economy of Malaysia was able to recover considerably fast in the 1998 Asian financial crisis because US was doing very well during the period and it helped Malaysia to recover as US is Malaysia’s major export trading partner. The resilience of Singapore economy during the Asian financial crisis was a good evidence how the US had helped the affected Asian countries recovering from the financial turmoil. The scenario is quite different this time, economy depression is everywhere all over the world, and none of the economy giants such as US, Europe, Japan and China are spared. Couple with unprecedented political uncertainty in local front, the gloomy economy situation in Malaysia is unlikely to see light in the end of tunnel soon.
Meanwhile, the plunge in crude oil price and crude palm oil price will reduce the income of Malaysian government. This will widen the budget deficit and cause higher inflation and further depreciation of Ringgit.
The passing of desperate $700billions bailout and urgent interest rates cuts by major Central Banks did not restore investors confidence but in fact alarmed the investors how serious the credit crisis is as the share markets continue to slump after the measures were taken. The investors are doubting whether the measures will be affective in tackling the credit crisis. Investors would rather to err on the side of caution and liquidate their equity holding.
There are divided views whether bailout plan is effective in saving the economies from major recession. As elaborated in his book, The Age of Turbulence, Alan Greenspan emphasized the value of creative destruction, which is the killing of old business models and the shifting of capital toward better business ideas / models / formats. The bailout plan and interest rates cuts are likened to taking pain killer. It does not cure the problem but provide temporary relief. Worse, it may drag the economy depression longer.
Back to the question… KLCI is now at 970 points. Is it now the time for bottom fishing? There are opportunities in crisis but personally I feel it is still not worth taking the risk at this moment…
“It not only leaves a bad image and taste among the people but puts the spotlight on the country for all the wrong reasons.”
Lousy MCMC… That’s the quality our MCMC has?
MCMC blocked Malaysia Today website. I was wondering why the mirror site was not blocked as well? Here we go…
Malaysia Today
How it resurrected itself
It shows why web blocking is “plain stupid” says UMNO-owned newspaper columnist, Evangeline Majawat.
Sep 1, 2008THE feisty Malaysia Today editor and blogger Raja Petra Kamaruddin must be laughing with glee. Just a few hours after the Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission (MCMC) ordered access to Malaysia Today blocked, a mirror website was up and running.
The MCMC had moved in stealthily and quickly, like Special Branch officers on covert missions. The decision to cut off access to the website was made on Wednesday and by late Friday, orders had been issued to all local Internet service providers (ISP).
But how could the MCMC have overlooked such an obvious loophole?
The blocking of the controversial Malaysia Today site, or any other website for that matter, is almost impossible as there are many ways to circumvent the ban.
“It’s like trying to contain water using a sieve. It’s plain stupid,” said Juvita Wan, a producer with an advertising agency.
Any IT expert or tech-savvy blogger friend will tell! you that the MCMC’s move is not its wisest. The easiest way to circumvent the ban is to create a mirror website - which was what Raja Petra did.
It’s hassle-free and quick; just a few clicks of the mouse. By 7pm on Wednesay, traffic to Malaysia Today had resumed.
Another method, which is “hot among the bloggers”, is the openDNS system (DNS stands for domain name service).
This user-friendly system, which was started only two years ago, allows consumers to use alternative servers to the ones provided by local ISPs.
So even if the local ISPs such as Streamyx and Time.com blocked Raja Petra’s website, his supporters and any curious Tom, Dick and Harry could access his materials by doing a search with the highly efficient open DNS system.
The third way is to do a search of Malaysia Today using proxy servers.
“It’s completely pointless to block his website. It’s cyberspace. How can you control it?,” said an exasperated IT manager, who commented under the cloak of anonymity.
MCMC’s move,! whether politically-motivated or not, is backfiring.
The ban raises questions of censorship and whether it was the right way to curb Raja Petra’s “insensitive, bordering incitement” articles.
“We have specific laws against racial incitement. Why wasn’t that invoked?” asked the IT manager.
And, of course, bloggers and watchdogs are screaming blue murder over “the impediment of freedom of speech and information”.
Home Minister Syed Hamid Albar defended MCMC’s actions, saying that it was just exercising its powers as provided under the Communications and Multimedia Act.
“Everyone is subject to the law, even websites and blogs,” he told reporters at Parliament on Friday.
He added that the government did not have any intention to curtail freedom of expression.
“But when you publish defamatory contents, it is only natural for action to be taken.”
Energy, Water and Communications Deputy Minister, Joseph Salang Gandum, was caught embarrassingly unaware about the debacle.
“MCMC did not brief me, but they might have briefed the minister,” he told reporters.
Whatever the reasons, the ministry and MCMC should perhaps look into the matter more thoroughly before hastily banning any more websites.
It not only leaves a bad image and taste among the people but puts the spotlight on the country for all the wrong reasons.
http://www.nst.com.my/Current_News/NST/Friday/National/2335364/Article/index_html
Malaysia Today is being blocked by TMNet. To access the website, please go to the mirror site:
http://mt.harapanmalaysia.com/2008/
This website is in fact more popular than Star Newspaper Online and definitely has some influence on the outcomes of the 080308 General Election and Permatang Pauh by-election.
It’s free… Why not know both sides of the story?