Archive for November, 2007

22
Nov

ASIAEP - Catching falling knife

Asiaep is not a cash rich company but is buying back company shares. At the same time, the boss is reducing his stake in the company. Do you see anything wrong here?

Changes in Director’s Interest Pursuant to Section 135 of the Companies Act. 1965
Reference No AA-071126-52398 
Company Name : ASIAEP BHD (MESDAQ Market)
Stock Name  : ASIAEP
Date Announced : 28/11/2007

Information Compiled By Bursa Malaysia

Particulars of Director

Name : TAN BOON NUNT
Address : 25, JALAN BK5/9, BANDAR KINRARA, SECTION 5, 47100 PUCHONG, SELANGOR
Descriptions(Class & nominal value) : ORDINARY SHARE RM0.10

Details of changes

Type of transaction Date of change
No of securities
Price Transacted (RM)
Disposed 14/11/2007 
2,600,000
0.300
Disposed 20/11/2007 
5,300,000
0.262
Disposed 22/11/2007 
2,288,000
0.260
Circumstances by reason of which change has occurred : DISPOSED
Nature of interest : DIRECT
Consideration (if any) : AVERAGE RM0.271 PER SHARE
Total no of securities after change:
Direct (units) : 6,124,260
Direct (%) : 2.5
Indirect/deemed interest (units) : 41,250,020
Indirect/deemed interest (%) : 16.81
Date of notice : 28/11/2007
Notice of Shares Buy Back - Immediate Announcement
Reference No AA-071127-62741 
Company Name : ASIAEP BHD (MESDAQ Market)
Stock Name : ASIAEP
Date Announced : 27/11/2007


ecblank.gif ecblank.gif
Date of buy back : 27/11/2007
Description of shares purchased : ORDINARY SHARES RM0.10 EACH
Total number of shares purchased (units) : 323,000
Minimum price paid for each share purchased (RM) : 0.250
Maximum price paid for each share purchased (RM) : 0.255
Total consideration paid (RM) : 82,503.34
Number of shares purchased retained in treasury (units) : 323,000
Number of shares purchased which are proposed to be cancelled (units) :
Cumulative net outstanding treasury shares as at to-date (units) : 575,100
Adjusted issued capital after cancellation
(no. of shares) (units)
Notice of Shares Buy Back - Immediate Announcement
Reference No AA-071126-62917 
Company Name : ASIAEP BHD (MESDAQ Market)
Stock Name : ASIAEP
Date Announced : 26/11/2007


ecblank.gif ecblank.gif
Date of buy back : 26/11/2007
Description of shares purchased : ORDINARY SHARE RM0.10 EACH
Total number of shares purchased (units) : 137,900
Minimum price paid for each share purchased (RM) : 0.255
Maximum price paid for each share purchased (RM) : 0.255
Total consideration paid (RM) : 35,460.72
Number of shares purchased retained in treasury (units) : 137,900
Number of shares purchased which are proposed to be cancelled (units) :
Cumulative net outstanding treasury shares as at to-date (units) : 252,100
Adjusted issued capital after cancellation
(no. of shares) (units)
Notice of Shares Buy Back - Immediate Announcement
Reference No AA-071120-64748 
Company Name : ASIAEP BHD (MESDAQ Market)
Stock Name : ASIAEP
Date Announced : 20/11/2007


ecblank.gif ecblank.gif
Date of buy back : 20/11/2007
Description of shares purchased : ORDINARY SHARES
Total number of shares purchased (units) : 114,200
Minimum price paid for each share purchased (RM) : 0.265
Maximum price paid for each share purchased (RM) : 0.265
Total consideration paid (RM) : 30,487.69
Number of shares purchased retained in treasury (units) : 114,200
Number of shares purchased which are proposed to be cancelled (units) :
Cumulative net outstanding treasury shares as at to-date (units) : 114,200
Adjusted issued capital after cancellation
(no. of shares) (units)

On 25 Oct 07, the share price of AsiaEP was pushed up and Goldman Sachs has sold their entire stake in AsiaEP.

Impressive 31/08/07 Quarter Results, the share price is currently trading at single PE but share price continue to fall…

Don’t you sense there is something not right?

Asiaep_1

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
31/08/2007



INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD

CURRENT YEAR QUARTER 
PRECEDING YEAR CORRESPONDING QUARTER 
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR CORRESPONDING PERIOD

31/08/2007
31/08/2006
31/08/2007
31/08/2006






RM’000
RM’000
RM’000
RM’000

1

Revenue
4,432
2,730
8,643
5,568

2

Profit/(loss) before tax
2,697
1,109
5,085
2,016

3

Profit/(loss) for the period
2,695
1,107
5,082
2,012

4

Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
2,695
1,107
5,082
2,012

5

Basic earnings/(loss) per share (sen)
1.21
0.55
2.28
1.01

6

Proposed/Declared dividend per share (sen)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

18
Nov

KSENG - Technical Analysis

Kseng_161107_3

03
Nov

朋友石头/ 朋友的石头

Batukawan_2 

The graph speaks for itself. The charting is so nice and BKAWAN is at historical high…

1 Batu Kawan share holds 1.1349 shares of KLK

Total BKAWAN shares: 435,951,000

Other assets: approximately RM 333 millions

Fair price RM 13.41

Upside: 35.45%!

Cumulative net outstanding treasury shares as at to-date (units) : 3,229,500

Sharing from a friend:

Dated 3 November 07

BKAWAN还在RM9.65和RM9.75之间回购本身的股票,

可以预测从现在开始到11月底公布全年成绩时,
BKAWAN将会牛气冲天!

我预测BKAWAN的全年EPS将在于RM0.78左右。
我是以KLK的CPO产量和FCPO的价钱来预算,
所以应该会相当准确的。

Dated 17 October 07

BKAWAN股票总数=435951100,
公司回购股票(公布于17.08.2007)=2994500,
BKAWAN净股票总数=435951100-2994500=432956500,
BKAWAN拥有KLK的股票=495901527,
所以每1000股BKAWAN拥有495901527/432956500*1000=1145股KLK,

KLK第三季(4月-6月)的EPS=RM0.139,
其中RM0.115是由种植领域贡献,另外RM0.024是由其他领域贡献,

再比较,
已经公布的第四季(7月-9月)和第三季(4月-6月)的油棕产量和价钱,发现它增加了79%,

所以种植领域将会在第四季贡献RM0.115*1.79=RM0.206,
假设其他领域将贡献和第三季同样的RM0.024,
所以我们可以准确的计算KLK的第四季的EPS=RM0.206+RM0.024=RM0.230,

那么,BKAWAN从KLK得来的EPS=RM0.230*1.145=RM0.263,
再加上BKAWAN本身的业务将会贡献RM0.015的话,
BKAWAN的第四季的EPS=RM0.263+RM0.015=RM0.278,

BKAWAN前三季的EPS=RM0.503,
所以BKAWAN全年的EPS=RM0.503+RM0.278=RM0.781,
以现在BKAWAN的价钱RM8.90来算,
BKAWAN的PE=RM8.90/RM0.781=11.40倍而已。

再看,
如果明年BKAWAN的EPS维持于现在第四季的水平,
BKAWAN2008年的EPS=RM0.278*4=RM1.112,
这是很容易就达到的目标,
原因是,
第四季的平均油棕价钱只是RM2457,
而今天的油棕价钱已经上到RM2800。
那么,那时的PE=RM8.90/RM1.112=8.00倍而已。

买BKAWAN吧!